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Benefits of Swing Trading(스윙 트레이딩의 장점)

효성공인 2021. 9. 4. 12:09

Benefits of Swing Trading(스윙 트레이딩의 장점)

Posted By: Steve Burnson: September

 

This post is found as chapter 2 in my newest book The Ultimate Guide to Swing Trading available on Amazon. 

이 게시물은 Amazon에서 사용할 수 있는 최신 책 The Ultimate Guide to Swing Trading의 2장에서 찾을 수 있습니다.

Swing trading can be a good fit for people of all experience levels because it has many benefits over other trading methods. Let’s consider the three major categories of any trading method, psychology, risk management, and system management.

스윙 거래는 다른 거래 방법에 비해 많은 이점이 있기 때문에 모든 경험 수준의 사람들에게 적합할 수 있습니다. 모든 거래 방법의 세 가지 주요 범주인 심리학, 위험 관리 및 시스템 관리를 고려해 보겠습니다.

 

The psychology of swing trading can be easier to manage because it’s typically less stressful and mentally taxing (혹사하다)than other methods. Swing traders can limit their trading signals to the open and/or the close of the day for their market of choice. For 24-hour markets, a swing trader can pick the most meaningful time with the highest volume to execute their entry and exit signals. The required screen time is dramatically lowered for swing trading compared to day trading, scalping, or trading markets that rarely if ever close, like futures, forex, or cryptocurrencies.

스윙 트레이딩의 심리는 일반적으로 다른 방법보다 스트레스가 적고 정신적으로 덜 혹사 되기 때문에 관리하기가 더 쉬울 수 있습니다. 스윙 트레이더는 거래 신호를 선택 시장을 위한 개장 및/또는 마감 시간으로 제한할 수 있습니다. 24시간 시장의 경우 스윙 트레이더는 거래량이 가장 많은 가장 의미 있는 시간을 선택하여 진입 및 퇴장 신호를 실행할 수 있습니다. 선물, 외환 또는 암호화폐와 같이 닫히드라도 거의 흔하지 않는 일일 거래, 스캘핑 또는 거래 시장에 비해 스윙 거래에 필요한 화면 시간이 크게 줄어듭니다.

A day trader may need to trade all day, while a swing trader may need only minutes to execute entries and exits. When a swing trader’s positions are moving in their favor, and there is no exit signal, they may not have to make any trades for days. The mental and emotional strain of trading for minutes a day is much less than spending a whole day watching for price action signals.

데이 트레이더는 하루 종일 거래해야 할 수 있는 반면 스윙 트레이더는 입력 및 종료를 실행하는 데 몇 분 밖에 걸리지 않을 수 있습니다. 스윙 트레이더의 포지션이 유리한 방향으로 움직이고 출구 신호가 없으면 며칠 동안 거래를 하지 않아도 됩니다. 하루에 몇 분 동안 거래하는 정신적, 정서적 긴장은 하루 종일 가격 움직임 신호를 관찰하는 것보다 훨씬 적습니다.

Swing trading can also put distance between a trade entry and the trade outcome because there is more time to see how it plays out. The stress on day trading may be more intense because entries can have immediate consequences. A day trader needs to concentrate on the position for the exit, which may be a quick stop loss, or watch for hours to take profits at the right moment. A swing trader can enter a trade in the morning and check back in near the close of the day or enter at the close and check back in at the next market open. A swing trader can stay mentally fresh with the time gap from trade entry to trade outcome.

스윙 트레이딩은 거래가 어떻게 진행되는지 볼 시간이 더 많기 때문에 거래 진입과 거래 결과 사이에 거리를 둘 수 있습니다. 당일 거래에 대한 스트레스는 입력이 즉각적인 결과를 초래할 수 있기 때문에 더 강렬할 수 있습니다. 데이 트레이더는 출구 포지션에 집중해야 하며, 이는 빠른 손절이 될 수 있습니다. 또는 적절한 순간에 수익을 올리기 위해 몇 시간 동안 지켜봐야 합니다. 스윙 트레이더는 아침에 거래를 입력하고 당일 마감 시간에 다시 체크인하거나 마감 시간에 입력하고 다음 시장 개장 시간에 다시 체크인할 수 있습니다. 스윙 트레이더는 거래 진입에서 거래 결과까지의 시간 차이로 정신적으로 신선함을 유지할 수 있습니다.

The risk management of swing trading can expose less capital to risk over shorter periods than other methods. Swing trading requires less position size than day trading because the moves can be over multiple days for larger profits. This means less capital is required because the percent gain can be higher. Also, a swing trader doesn’t have the same stress of drawdowns during bear markets as a buy-and-hold investor will experience. Swing traders are more likely to be in cash, have short positions, or have limited exposure than most investors during market corrections and downturns.

스윙 트레이딩의 위험 관리는 다른 방법보다 짧은 기간 동안 더 적은 자본을 위험에 노출시킬 수 있습니다. 스윙 트레이딩은 더 큰 이익을 위해 여러 날에 걸쳐 움직일 수 있기 때문에 데이 트레이딩보다 포지션 크기가 덜 필요합니다. 이것은 퍼센트 이득이 더 높을 수 있기 때문에 더 적은 자본이 필요함을 의미합니다. 또한 스윙 트레이더는 매수 후 보유 투자자가 경험하는 것과 같은 약세장 동안 하락 스트레스를 받지 않습니다. 스윙 트레이더는 시장 조정 및 침체 기간 동안 대부분의 투자자보다 현금을 보유하거나 숏 포지션을 취하거나 노출이 제한될 가능성이 더 큽니다.

Most day trading strategies require more capital at risk to make trades meaningful that are only trying to profit off small intraday moves in most cases. Day traders, for the most part, try to profit from intraday moves of dimes to dollars in price, while a swing trader aims to profit from multiple day moves of dollars, ten dollars, or even one hundred dollars for high price stocks. A day trader might be happy with a single percent move in the stock in a day, while a swing trader aims to profit from double-digit stock moves. The larger size of the move doesn’t require as big of a position size to be meaningful versus day trading.

대부분의 일일 거래 전략은 대부분의 경우 작은 일중 움직임으로 이익을 얻으려고 하는 의미 있는 거래를 만들기 위해 더 많은 위험에 처한 자본이 필요합니다. 대부분의 경우 데이 트레이더는 일중 가격이 달러로 변동하는 것으로부터 이익을 얻으려고 하는 반면 스윙 트레이더는 고가 주식에 대해 하루에 달러, 10달러 또는 100달러의 여러 날 움직임에서 이익을 얻는 것을 목표로 합니다. 데이 트레이더는 하루에 1%의 주가 변동에 만족할 수 있지만 스윙 트레이더는 두 자릿수 주식 움직임에서 이익을 얻는 것을 목표로 합니다. 더 큰 규모의 이동은 데이 트레이딩에 비해 의미 있는 포지션 규모를 필요로 하지 않습니다.

Swing trading systems can be less stressful to trade than most trend trading systems as swing traders don’t take as much of a drawdown in open trades as trend traders. A trend trader is more willing to risk open profits for the chance of bigger gains by staying in a trend for a longer time frame than a swing trader will. A trend trader will hold through (끝까지 버티어 내다)a market pullback after the swing trader has already locked in profits. A swing trader wants fast dollars and is ready to move on quickly to the next swing on another chart and is not interested in fighting hard through positions that move sideways for days or weeks and pulls back too far.

스윙 거래 시스템은 대부분의 추세 거래 시스템보다 거래에 스트레스를 덜 받을 수 있습니다. 스윙 거래자는 공개 거래에서 추세 거래자만큼 많은 손실을 입지 않기 때문입니다. 추세 트레이더는 스윙 트레이더보다 더 오랜 기간 동안 추세를 유지함으로써 더 큰 이익을 얻기 위해 오픈 이익의 위험을 감수할 의향이 있습니다. 추세 트레이더는 스윙 트레이더가 이미 이익을 확보한 후 시장 철수를 견뎌낼 것입니다. 스윙 트레이더는 빠른 달러를 원하고 다른 차트의 다음 스윙으로 빠르게 이동할 준비가 되어 있으며 며칠 또는 몇 주 동안 옆으로 움직이고 너무 뒤로 물러나는 포지션을 통해 열심히 싸우는 데 관심이 없습니다.

For example, with a 5-day exponential moving average / 20-day exponential moving average crossover signal, a swing trader would lock in profits around the 70 RSI. In contrast, a trend trader would stay in the trend until the 5-day EMA crossed back under the 20-day EMA. A swing trader is satisfied with a smaller profit, but a trend trader wants to stay in a trend until it is over. A swing trader will take a profit early and stay out of (빠져나가다)any reversals, while a trend trader will remain in a small pullback now for the chance of a huge profit later. Sometimes the swing trade exit is perfect, getting out before a reversal, and other times, the trend continues. Sometimes the swing trader makes more money than the trend trader because they locked in profits while they were available. Other times, the trend trader stays in a trend through (끝까지 머무르다)some small pullbacks and receives a bigger win than the swing trader’s profits. The market chooses whose strategy was the best for each trade, but it is up to the trader to choose what they are most comfortable with, swing trading or trend trading, as there are profitable systems for both methods. Swing trading is usually the most comfortable to trade as it has fewer givebacks (수익)of paper profits. It can be frustrating when a swing trader exits and the trade becomes a huge winner later. It can be even more frustrating for a trend trader to give back (돌려주다)most of their profits as their trailing stop is triggered so late in a fast reversal. There are tradeoffs(절충 협상) for each approach; the critical thing is which one you can execute with real money.

예를 들어, 5일간의 지수 이동 평균 / 20일간의 지수 이동 평균 교차 신호로 스윙 트레이더는 70 RSI 주변의 이익을 잠급니다. 이와는 대조적으로, 트렌드 트레이더는 5일간의 EMA가 20일간의 EMA 하에서 다시 건너갈 때까지 이러한 추세를 유지할 것이다. 스윙 트레이더는 수익이 적을수록 만족하지만, 트렌드 트레이더는 그것이 끝날 때까지 트렌드에 머무르기를 원한다. 스윙 트레이더는 일찍 이익을 얻고 어떤 역전에도 빠져나갈 것이며 , 트렌드 트레이더는 나중에 큰 이익을 얻을 수 있는 기회를 위해 지금 작은 후퇴에도 머물 것이다. 때로는 스윙 트레이드 출구가 완벽해서 반전 전에 빠져나오기도 하고, 다른 때는 추세가 계속된다. 때때로 스윙 트레이더는 그들이 이용 가능한 동안 이익을 잠갔기 때문에 트렌드 트레이더보다 더 많은 돈을 번다. 어떤 때는, 그 트렌드 트레이더가 약간의 작은 후퇴를 통해 추세에 머무르고 그 스윙 트레이더의 이익보다 더 큰 승리를 받는다. 시장은 각 거래에 대해 가장 좋은 전략을 선택하지만, 두 가지 방법에 대한 수익성 있는 시스템이 있기 때문에 가장 편안한 것을 선택하는 것은 트레이더의 몫이다. 스윙 트레이딩은 보통 종이 이익의 수익률이 적기 때문에 거래하기에 가장 편안하다. 스윙 트레이더가 퇴장하고 나중에 무역이 큰 승자가 되면 좌절할 수 있다. 트렌드 트레이더가 빠른 반전으로 너무 늦게 후행 정지가 촉발됨에 따라 수익의 대부분을 돌려주는 것은 더욱 좌절감을 줄 수 있다. 각각의 접근법에는 절충안이 있다; 중요한 것은 당신이 진짜 돈으로 어떤 것을 실행할 수 있는가 하는 것이다.

In this example of the ARKK chart, the 5-day EMA crosses over the 20-day EMA and runs up to the 70 RSI and stalls (멈추다)where a swing trader’s profit target would be before going even higher above the 70 RSI and then later rolling over (나가 떨어진다)to lower prices. If a trend trader had let this winner run until the 5-day EMA crossed back under the 20-day EMA, the swing trader would have outperformed the trend trader. In this example, the swing trader would have been exposed to risk for less time and created a higher return and higher risk-adjusted return. The swing trader would have exited earlier with more profits than the trend trader.

ARKK 차트의예에서 5일간의 EMA는 20일간의 EMA를 가로지르고 70 RSI까지 운행하며 스윙 트레이더의 이익 목표가 70 RSI를 훨씬 상회하기 전에 있을 수 있는 노점에서 멈추과 나중에는 낮은  가격으로 굴러간다. 만약 추세 트레이더가 20일 EMA 하에서 5일 EMA가 다시 교차될 때까지 이 우승자를 운영하게 했다면, 스윙 트레이더는 추세 트레이더를 능가했을 것입니다. 이 사례에서 스윙트레이더는 더 적은 시간 동안 위험에 노출되었고 더 높은 수익률과 더 높은 위험조정 수익을 창출했을 것이다. 스윙 트레이더는 트렌드 트레이더보다 더 많은 이익을 남기고 더 일찍 퇴장했을 것입니다.

Chart courtesy of TrendSpider.com

 

The smaller position size needed to make swing trades profitable versus day trades lowers the risk exposure of total capital at any given time. However, swing traders add overnight risk to their system to profit from gaps and multiple-day moves that day traders miss as they focus only on intraday price moves.

스윙 트레이드를  주간거래와 비교하여 수익성을 만들기 위하여 필요한 보다 작은 포지션 크기는 주어진 시간에 총 자본의 위험 노출을 감소시킨다. 그러나 스윙 트레이더들은  당일 가격 이동에만 집중하기 때문에  거래자들이 놓치는 당일 여러 이동과 격차에서 이익을 얻기 위해 그들의 시스탬에 밤새 위험을 더한다

A sound swing trading system can lower risk exposure of capital through smaller position sizing and increase returns by increasing the magnitude and size of winning trades by increasing the time frame of any one trade. Holding overnight can add an element of risk to swing trading versus day trading when gaps go against a position. Over the long-term, holding overnight has been where the bulk of returns have historically come from in the stock market versus open to close movement.

건전한 스윙 거래 시스템은 보다 적은 포지션 사이징을 통하여  자본의 위험 노출을 낮출 수 있고 어느 한 거래의 시간 프레임을 늘림으로써  승리 거래의 규모와 규모를 증가시켜 수익을 증가시킬 수 있습니다. 밤새 보유하는 것은 갭이 포지션과 반대되는 경우  데이 트레이딩에 비하여 스윙트레드에 대한 위험 요소를 추가할 수 있습니다. 장기간에 걸쳐 밤새 보유하는 것은  수익율의 크기가 마감 움직임에 대해 열린 곳과 대하여  주식시장에서 나왔던 곳에 존재하였다 

A swing trader has a larger profitable range of prices to work with (잘되는)than a day trader. Day traders like having no overnight risk, but swing traders embrace it because that is where the opportunity is for profits. Day traders are glad when they have risk off(위험을 무릅쓰다) when the market gaps down, but swing traders are happy when they are long, and the market gaps up.

스윙 트레이더는 데이 트레이더보다 잘되는 수익성 있는 가격 범위가 더 넓습니다. 데이 트레이더는 하룻밤 위험이 없는 것을 좋아하지만 스윙 트레이더는 이익을 위한 기회가 존재하기 때문에 이를 껴안습니다 . 데이 트레이더는 시장 갭이 하락할 때 위험을 감 기뻐하지만 스윙 트레이더는 롱 갭이 있을 때 행복합니다.

Managing swing trading as a method requires less screen time than day trading and can involve a smaller watchlist than trend trading. One thing that few traders consider when choosing their trading method is the time involved in the execution of the strategy and the value they place on their own time.

스윙 트레이딩을 방법으로 관리하는 것은 데이 트레이딩보다 스크린 타임이 덜 필요하고 트렌드 트레이딩보다 더 적은 관심 목록을 포함할 수 있습니다. 거래 방법을 선택할 때 소수의 거래자가 고려하는 한 가지는 전략 실행에 소요되는 시간과 자신의 시간에 부여하는 가치입니다.

The first step in developing a trading system is the time spent in research, backtesting, historical chart studies, position size structuring, and deciding on the parameters for selecting items for their watchlist to trade. After creating and testing a system, which can be similar in time for most trading methods, a trader moves on to live(실시간) trading implementation and management. This is where the time requirements for execution can diverge dramatically.

거래 시스템 개발의 첫 번째 단계는 조사, 백테스팅, 과거 차트 연구, 포지션 규모 구조화, 거래 대상 관심 목록에 대한 항목 선택 매개변수 결정에 소요되는 시간입니다. 대부분의 거래 방법과 시간이 비슷할 수 있는 시스템을 만들고 테스트한 후 거래자는 실시간 거래 구현 및 관리로 이동합니다. 여기에서 실행에 필요한 시간이 크게 달라질 수 있습니다.

The time management for a trading method can range from taking a few minutes at the end of the week for a weekly trend trading system to over eight hours a day most days of the week for a day trading system. For example, a trend trader may only need a few minutes in the morning or afternoon if their positions are all winning with no trailing stops being triggered if they trade the long-term trend. This contrasts greatly with the day trader of stocks who may need to be preparing for their day an hour before the market opens and stay focused for the entire seven and a half hours the market is open. These are extreme examples as some trend traders watch price action more closely, and some day traders only trade the opening hour, closing hour, or focus on news-driven events, but you see the variance.

거래 방법에 대한 시간 관리는 주간 추세 거래 시스템의 경우 주말에 몇 분이 소요되는 것부터 일일 거래 시스템의 경우 대부분의 요일에 하루 8시간 이상에 이르기까지 다양할 수 있습니다. 예를 들어, 추세 거래자는 장기 추세를 거래할 때 후행 정지가 트리거되지 않고 포지션이 모두 승리하는 경우 오전 또는 오후에 몇 분만 필요할 수 있습니다. 이것은 시장이 열리기 한 시간 전에 하루를 준비하고 시장이 열리는 전체 7시간 30분 동안 집중해야 할 수도 있는 주식의 데이 트레이더와 크게 대조됩니다. 일부 트렌드 트레이더는 가격 움직임을 더 면밀히 관찰하고 일부 데이 트레이더는 개장 시간, 마감 시간만 거래하거나 뉴스 중심 이벤트에 초점을 맞추는 극단적인 예입니다. 하지만 편차를 볼 수 있습니다.

There can be a huge difference in the time it takes different types of traders to execute their process in real-time, depending on the required screen time and how long it takes to manage their watchlist.

필요한 화면 시간과 관심 목록을 관리하는 데 걸리는 시간에 따라 다양한 유형의 거래자가 실시간으로 프로세스를 실행하는 데 걸리는 시간에 큰 차이가 있을 수 있습니다.

The variance between the time it takes a trader to manage a swing trading system versus a day trading system can be huge. A swing trader of stocks that only makes trade adjustments at the open and close may only need as little as 2.5 hours a week to review their watchlist and execute their entries and exits, while a day trader could need to work over 40 hours a week between research and screen time. If both traders using the time management examples above made $2,500, the swing trader would make $1,000 an hour (2.5 hours / $2,500) while the day trader would make less than $62.50 an hour (40 hours / $2,500). This is a huge variance and why it’s crucial to value your time as a trader. A swing trader is risking less of their time with their strategy, while a day trader could lose a weeks’ worth of their time along with some money if they are unprofitable. A swing trader decreases their time risk and focuses on their capital at risk. A swing trader can have a better quality of life and have the time to pursue other interests.

트레이더가 스윙 트레이딩 시스템과 데이 트레이딩 시스템을 관리하는 데 걸리는 시간의 차이는 클 수 있습니다. 개장 및 마감 시에만 거래 조정을 하는 주식의 스윙 트레이더는 관심 목록을 검토하고 진입 및 종료를 실행하는 데 일주일에 2.5시간 정도만 필요할 수 있지만, 데이 트레이더는 그 사이에 일주일에 40시간 이상 일해야 할 수 있습니다. 조사 및 스크린 타임. 위의 시간 관리 예제를 사용하는 두 트레이더가 모두 $2,500를 벌었다면 스윙 트레이더는 시간당 $1,000(2.5시간 / $2,500)을 벌고 데이 트레이더는 시간당 $62.50(40시간 / $2,500) 미만을 벌게 됩니다. 이것은 엄청난 차이이며 트레이더로서 시간을 가치 있게 여기는 것이 중요한 이유입니다. 스윙 트레이더는 전략에 시간을 덜 투자하는 반면, 데이 트레이더는 수익성이 없으면 몇 주 동안의 시간과 약간의 돈을 잃을 수 있습니다. 스윙 트레이더는 시간 위험을 줄이고 위험에 처한 자본에 집중합니다. 스윙 트레이더는 더 나은 삶의 질을 누리고 다른 이익을 추구할 시간을 가질 수 있습니다.

Of course, hugely successful day traders love what they do and make it worth the time and energy they devote to it, and they enjoy the game. But this chapter is about the benefits of swing trading, which I have focused on. Swing trading can be an excellent place for new traders to start as it lowers stress levels with both less needed capital at risk and fewer screen time requirements. Swing trading can also be a good place to start for aspiring traders with jobs as entry and exit signals can be executed at the open or the close, only requiring small increments of time around a typical job. It is also possible for swing traders to drop down to the intraday timeframe when needed if a market becomes volatile so that you can set flexible parameters based on your own system goals. Swing traders can execute signals at the open, the close, or a combination of both, depending on their strategy parameters. Swing trading can be a flexible and robust trading method with both time management and capital management benefits.

물론, 매우 성공적인 데이 트레이더는 자신이 하는 일을 사랑하고 투자한 시간과 에너지를 가치 있게 여기며 게임을 즐깁니다. 그러나 이 장은 내가 초점을 맞춘 스윙 트레이딩의 이점에 관한 것입니다. 스윙 트레이딩은 위험에 처한 자본이 덜 필요하고 스크린 타임 요구 사항이 적기 때문에 스트레스 수준을 낮추기 때문에 새로운 트레이더가 시작하기에 좋은 장소가 될 수 있습니다. 스윙 트레이딩은 진입 및 퇴장 신호가 시작 또는 종료 시점에 실행될 수 있기 때문에 직업을 가진 야심 찬 트레이더에게 좋은 시작점이 될 수 있으며, 일반적인 작업 주변에 약간의 시간 증분이 필요합니다. 또한 스윙 트레이더는 시장이 변동할 경우 필요할 때 하루 중 시간 프레임으로 내려갈 수 있으므로 자신의 시스템 목표에 따라 유연한 매개변수를 설정할 수 있습니다. 스윙 트레이더는 전략 매개변수에 따라 시가, 종가 또는 이 둘의 조합에서 신호를 실행할 수 있습니다. 스윙 트레이딩은 시간 관리 및 자본 관리 이점을 모두 갖춘 유연하고 강력한 거래 방법이 될 수 있습니다.