Trading Lessons from The Art of War(전쟁의 기술에서 배우는 거래)

Trading Lessons from The Art of War(전쟁의 기술에서 배우는 거래)

Posted By: Steve Burnson: 

 

Revered the world over for centuries as the essential text for warfare and battle by the ancient philosopher and general Sun Tzu (544 BC–496 BC) explains the principles for dealing with war, personal conflicts, and achieving success in the battles of life.

고대 철학자이자 장군인 쯔(BC 544~496년)에 의한  전쟁과 전투의 필수 텍스트로서  수세기 동안 존경 받아 온 세계는  전쟁, 개인적인 갈등, 그리고 삶의 전투에서 성공을 달성하기 위한 원칙을 설명한다.

Here are ten principles I believe we can translate to trading the markets.

여기 우리가 시장 거래로 전환할 수 있다고 생각하는 10가지 원칙이 있습니다.

“Appear weak when you are strong, and strong when you are weak.” – Sun Tzu, The Art of War(손자병법)

"강하면 약하게 나타나고  약해지면 강하게 나타난다." – 손자, 전쟁의 기술(병법)

The markets can defeat us when it appears strong when it is extremely overbought and due for a reversal or it appears weak but is extremely oversold and due for a bounce. When a daily chart is at the 70 RSI, 3rd upper Bollinger Band, or 3rd upper ATR Keltner Channel it may appear strong but the odds are it is weak and ready to reverse lower. When a daily chart is at the 30 RSI, 3rd lower Bollinger Band, or 3rd lower ATR Keltner Channel it may appear weak but the odds are it is strong and ready to bounce.

시장은 그것이 강하게 나타날 때 극도로 과매수되고  반전이 예정되거나 혹은 약하게 나타날 때 그러나 과매도 일때 그리고 반등이 예정되어 있을 때 우리를 이길 수 있습니다. 일간 차트가 70 RSI, 볼린저 밴드 3위 또는 ATR 켈트너 채널 3위일 때 강세를 보일 수 있지만 확률은 약하고 하향 반전할 준비가 되어 있습니다. 일일 차트가 30 RSI, 3번째 낮은 볼린저 밴드 또는 3번째 낮은 ATR Keltner 채널에 있을 때 약해 보일 수 있지만 확률은 강하고 튀어 오를 준비가 되어 있습니다.

“If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb(굴복하다) in every battle.” – Sun Tzu, The Art of War

적을 알고 자신을 안다면 백 번의 전투의 결과를 두려워할 필요가 없습니다. 만약 당신이 자신을 알고 있지만 적을 알지 못하면  얻은 모든 승리에 대하여 당신은 또한 패배를 겪을 것이다. 적도 자기 자신도 모른다면 모든 전투에 굴복할 것이다." – 썬쯔, 전쟁의 예술(손자병법)

A trader must know both their own weaknesses and strength and their trading system’s positive expectancy thoroughly. If you are self aware and know how your system works you don’t need to stress over the results of your next 100 trades.

거래자는 자신의 약점과 강점, 거래 시스템의 긍정적인 기대치를 철저히 알고 있어야 합니다. 자각하고 시스템이 어떻게 작동하는지 알고 있다면 다음 100번의 거래 결과에 대해 스트레스를 받을 필요가 없습니다.

“The supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy without fighting.” – Sun Tzu, The Art of War

전쟁의 최고의 기술은 싸우지 않고 적을 제압하는 것이다." – 손자병법

A trader should not be trying to beat the market they should be going with the flow of price action.

거래자는 가격 행동의 흐름에 따라 가야 하는 시장을 이기려고 해서는 안 됩니다.

“Let your plans be dark and impenetrable as night, and when you move, fall like a thunderbolt.” – Sun Tzu, The Art of War

네 계획을 밤같이 어둡고 뚫을 수 없게 하라 네가 움직일 때에는 벼락같이 떨어지라." – 손자, 전쟁의 기술

Don’t talk about your positions and don’t try to make predictions and have strong opinions, just trade your strategy with focus and discipline and make money quietly.

자신의 입장에 대해 이야기하지 말고 예측하거나 강한 의견을 가지지 말고 집중과 훈련으로 전략을 거래하고 조용히 돈을 버십시오.

“Supreme excellence consists of breaking the enemy’s resistance without fighting.” – Sun Tzu, The Art of War

"최고의 탁월함은 싸우지 않고 적의 저항을 무너뜨리는 것입니다." – 손자, 병법(전쟁의 기술)

Don’t fight trends that are taking place only enter at the moment of a new break out of a range.

발생하는 추세에 맞서지 마십시오. 새로운 범위를 벗어나는 순간에만 진입하십시오.

“In the midst of chaos, there is also opportunity” – Sun Tzu, The Art of War

혼돈 속에 기회도 있다" - 손자, 전쟁의 기술

Extreme market moves and volatility can create some of the best trading opportunities.

극단적인 시장 움직임과 변동성은 최고의 거래 기회를 만들 수 있습니다.

“Victorious warriors win first and then go to war, while defeated warriors go to war first and then seek to win” – Sun Tzu, The Art of War

"승자는 먼저 이기고 나서 전쟁에 나가고, 패배한 전사는 먼저 전쟁에 나서서 이기려고 한다." - 손자, 전쟁의 기술

Profitable traders first win by backtesing, doing historical chart studies, and creating a trading system with a positive expectancy model, then they start trading real money. Unprofitable traders just start buying and selling based on random opinions and hope to make money.

수익성 있는 거래자는 먼저 백테스팅, 과거 차트 연구, 긍정적 기대 모델로 거래 시스템을 구축하여 승리한 다음 실제 현금 거래를 시작합니다. 무익한 거래자들은 그저 무작위의 의견에 따라 사고 팔기 시작하고 돈을 벌기를 희망합니다.

“Engage people with what they expect; it is what they are able to discern and confirms their projections. It settles them into predictable patterns of response, occupying their minds while you wait for the extraordinary moment — that which they cannot anticipate.” – Sun Tzu, The Art of War 

“사람들이 기대하는 것에 참여하십시오. 그것은 그들이 그들의 예측을 식별하고 확인할 수 있는 것입니다. 그것은 그들이 예상할 수 없는 특별한 순간을 기다리는 동안 그들의 마음을 사로잡는 예측 가능한 반응 패턴으로 그들을 정착시킵니다.” – 손자, 전쟁의 기술

Find repeatable patterns in the price action of the markets that you can use to create profitable trading signals for.

수익성 있는 거래 신호를 생성하는 데 사용할 수 있는 시장의 가격 행동에서 반복 가능한 패턴을 찾으십시오.

“Opportunities multiply as they are seized.” – Sun Tzu

기회는 잡은 만큼 배가 됩니다." – 손자

A larger watchlist of stocks and markets provides more opportunities for profitable trades across additional charts if they backtest well. 

주식 및 시장의 더 큰 관심 목록은 백테스트가 잘된다면 추가 차트에서 수익성 있는 거래를 위한 더 많은 기회를 제공합니다.

“Thus we may know that there are five essentials for victory:

“따라서 우리는 승리를 위한 다섯 가지 필수 요소가 있음을 알 수 있습니다.
1. He will win who knows when to fight and when not to fight.

싸워야 할 때와 싸우지 말아야 할 때를 아는 자가 승리할 것이다.
2. He will win who knows how to handle both superior and inferior forces.

우월한 세력과 열등한 세력을 모두 다룰 줄 아는 자가 승리한다
3. He will win whose army is animated(생기를 불어넣다) by the same spirit throughout all its ranks.

그는 모든 대열에서 같은 정신으로 군대를 움직이는 군대에서 승리할 것입니다.
4. He will win who, prepared himself, waits to take the enemy unprepared.

그는 자신을 준비하고 준비되지 않은 적을 잡으려고 기다리는 사람을 이길 것입니다.
5. He will win who has military capacity and is not interfered with by the sovereign.”

군사력이 있고 군주의 간섭을 받지 않는 자가 승리한다.”
– Sun Tzu, The Art of War

– 손자, 전쟁의 기술

 

There are five essentials for profitable trading:

수익성 있는 거래에는 5가지 필수 요소가 있습니다.

There is a time to trade and time not to trade, you must know the difference to make money. 

매매할 때가 있고 매매하지 않을 때가 있습니다. 돈을 벌기 위해서는 그 차이를 알아야 합니다.

A trader must know how to trade in different types of markets, uptrends, downtrends, sideways, and volatile. 

거래자는 다양한 유형의 시장, 상승 추세, 하락 추세, 횡보 및 변동성을 거래하는 방법을 알아야 합니다.

 

A trader must not let their emotions be moved to lose discipline by euphoria after wins or depression after losses. 

 

트레이더는 승리 후의 도취감이나 패배 후의 우울감으로 인해 감정이 움직여 자제력을 잃지 않도록 해야 합니다.

 

A trader’s primary job is to have the patience to wait for their signals and not chase price action. 

트레이더의 주요 임무는 신호를 기다리는 인내심을 갖고 가격 행동을 쫓지 않는 것입니다.

That trader who can follow their profitable system without being led astray(길을잃다) by their ego or emotions will find success. 

자아나 감정에 휘둘리지 않고 수익성 있는 시스템을 따를 수 있는 트레이더는 성공할 것입니다.