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Common Mistakes in Technical Analysis(기술적 분석의 일반적인 실수)

효성공인 2022. 1. 5. 15:01

Common Mistakes in Technical Analysis(기술적 분석의 일반적인 실수)

 

Technical analysis can be both an art or a science based on how you use it. It is very easy to become too rigid in its practice believing it can become a crystal ball or too flexible and see whatever you want to see.

기술적 분석은 어떻게 사용하느냐에 따라 예술이 될 수도 있고 과학이 될 수도 있습니다. 수정 구슬이 될 수도 있고 너무 유연하여 보고 싶은 것은 무엇이든 볼 수 있다고 믿는 연습에서 너무 딱딱해지기 쉽습니다.

 

Here are ten common mistakes people make in the practice of technical analysis.

다음은 기술 분석을 수행할 때 사람들이 저지르는 10가지 일반적인 실수입니다.

 

There are two types of technical analysis, predictive technical analysis tries to see what the market will do in the future based on the current pattern on the chart. Reactive technical analysis uses current signals in the price action for buy and sell decisions to create good risk/reward ratios and go in the direction of the current trend.

기술적 분석에는 두 가지 유형이 있습니다. 예측적 기술적 분석은 차트의 현재 패턴을 기반으로 시장이 미래에 무엇을 할 것인지 확인하려고 합니다. 사후 기술 분석은 매수 및 매도 결정을 위한 가격 조치의 현재 신호를 사용하여 좋은 위험/보상 비율을 생성하고 현재 추세의 방향으로 이동합니다.

Technical analysis is not magic or 100% correct it is just a way of looking at the price action to see current patterns and future possibilities.

기술적 분석은 마술이나 100% 정확하지 않으며 현재 패턴과 미래 가능성을 보기 위해 가격 행동을 보는 방법일 뿐입니다.

Support and resistance only matters in a trading range, once there is a breakout in one direction or the other horizontal resistance is invalidated. Up trends have no long term resistance and downtrends have no long term support.

지지와 저항은 거래 범위 내에서만 중요하며, 일단 한 방향으로 돌파가 발생하거나 다른 수평 저항은 무효화됩니다. 상승 추세에는 장기 저항이 없고 하락 추세에는 장기 지원이 없습니다

In a trend support and resistance can go from horizontal to vertical where moving averages and trend lines come into play.

추세에서 지지와 저항은 이동 평균과 추세선이 작용하는 수평에서 수직으로 갈 수 있습니다.

Moving averages can be a great tool for trading trends but can become useless in trading ranges and highly volatile markets.

이동 평균은 거래 추세에 대한 훌륭한 도구가 될 수 있지만 거래 범위와 변동성이 큰 시장에서는 쓸모가 없을 수 있습니다.

If you believe too much in a stock narrative or become too bearish or bullish it can create a cognitive bias where you only see what you want to see on a chart that confirms your own belief system.

주식 이야기를 너무 많이 믿거나 너무 약해지거나 강해지면 자신의 신념 체계를 확인하는 차트에서보고 싶은 것만 볼 수있는 인지적 편견을 만들 수 있습니다.

Overbought and oversold indicators fail to be meaningful in parabolic trends. A strongly trending market can just keep becoming more overbought or oversold.

과매수 및 과매도 지표는 포물선 추세에서 의미가 없습니다. 추세가 강한 시장은 계속해서 과매수 또는 과매도 상태가 될 수 있습니다.

Technical analysis is not the same on different timeframes. You can see different patterns on intra-day, daily, weekly, and monthly charts so it is important to focus on the timeframe your trade is taking place in.

기술적 분석은 다른 시간대에서 동일하지 않습니다. 일간, 일간, 주간, 월간 차트에서 다양한 패턴을 볼 수 있으므로 거래가 이루어지는 시간대에 집중하는 것이 중요합니다.

Technical analysis has to be flexible and as a pattern or trend changes you have to change your interpretation.

기술적 분석은 유연해야 하며 패턴이나 추세가 변경되면 해석을 변경해야 합니다

90% of technical analysis is seeing in which direction a price is breaking out, the other 10% is narrative

기술적 분석의 90%는 가격이 돌파하는 방향을 보고 있고, 나머지 10%는 내러티브(이야기)입니다.

Technical analysis is best used as a tool for profitable trading. The best way to be profitable in the markets is to have small losses and big wins.

기술적 분석은 수익성 있는 거래를 위한 도구로 가장 잘 사용됩니다. 시장에서 수익을 내는 가장 좋은 방법은 작은 손실과 큰 수익을 내는 것입니다.

Technical analysis can help you create good risk/reward ratios by looking at important price levels. It can also help you place a trade in the direction of least resistance for a good chance of catching a trend. Everything else is just opinions and predictions.

기술적 분석은 중요한 가격 수준을 살펴봄으로써 좋은 위험/보상 비율을 생성하는 데 도움이 될 수 있습니다. 또한 추세를 잡을 좋은 기회를 위해 저항이 가장 적은 방향으로 거래를 하는 데 도움이 될 수 있습니다. 다른 모든 것은 의견과 예측일 뿐입니다.

 

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